Elementos Futebolísticos Determinantes Para os Resultados dos Jogos do Euro16

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24883/IberoamericanIC.v13i.2023.e0428

Palavras-chave:

Futebol, Posse de bola, Ações defensivas, Euro16

Resumo

Objetivo: O presente artigo teve como objetivo verificar padrões capazes de explicar os resultados das partidas da Eurocopa 2016, tendo como referência os seguintes indicadores de desempenho: finalização, posse de bola, passe, cruzamento e ações defensivas.

Metodologia/abordagem: As informações sobre todas as partidas foram coletadas no site do Dailymail. Além da utilização do site do Dailymail, foi adotado o programa Weka (Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis) com o intuito de analisar os dados coletados sobre os jogos da Eurocopa 2016.

Originalidade/Relevância: Os indicadores de desempenho das partidas de futebol foram analisados de forma a contribuir para a compreensão dos comportamentos dentro do cenário competitivo deste esporte.

Principais conclusões: É possível perceber que, quanto mais certeiros os chutes que uma equipe faz em seus jogos, mais chances ela tem de vencer, ao invés de um plano de jogo baseado em movimentos cruzados. A posse de bola, por sua vez, se mostra um bom indicador e também um mau indicador para vencer partidas, quando aparece um número elevado de cruzamentos. Além disso, a alternativa de passes longos parece ser relevante apenas quando o adversário faz mais chutes de fora da área ou recebe mais interceptações. Complementarmente, ações defensivas focadas em desarmes bem-sucedidos e mais interceptações aparecem como um aspecto positivo para a obtenção da vitória, preocupando-se apenas com o número total de desarmes. A precisão dos chutes e ações defensivas foram relevantes para o sucesso das equipes na competição, sugerindo que o aprimoramento das ações com base nessas evidências deve ajudar seleções e clubes nacionais a aprimorar suas próprias forças, a fim de maximizar suas chances de vencer partidas.

Contribuições teóricas/metodológicas: Ao coletar um grande volume de dados futebolísticos de um site e utilizar o programa Weka foi possível obter auxílio não apenas para acelerar e facilitar as análises, mas também pode ter sido importante para não perder nenhuma relação que poderia ser relevante no cenário estudado.

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.

Referências

Afonso, M. S., Barros, S. S., Koth, A. P., Rodrigues, V. L., Neves, F. B., & Lourenção, L. G. (2020). Sports physiotherapy in program of prevention of injury in professional football. Research, Society and Development, 9(3), e72932434. https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v9i3.2434

Almeida, C. H., Ferreira, A. P., & Volossovitch, A. (2014). Effects of match location, match status and quality of opposition on regaining possession in UEFA champions league. Journal of Human Kinetics, 41(1), 203–214. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-2014-0048

Alves, M. A. R., Graça, D. C., Feitosa, M. C., & Soares, B. H. (2021). Scientific production on technical and tactical performance analysis in futsal. Research, Society and Development, 10(12), e365101220450. https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v10i12.20450

Anderson, C., & Sally, D. (2013). Os números do jogo: por que tudo o que você sabe sobre futebol está errado. São Paulo: Paralela.

Barbosa, P. F. A. F. (2009). Eficácia do processo ofensivo em Futebol: estudo comparativo das equipes classificadas no primeiro e segundo lugares das ligas nacionais de Espanha, Inglaterra, Itália e Portugal, na época de 2008/09. 150.

Monografia (Licenciatura em Desporto e Educação Física). Faculdade de Desporto. Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal.

Barreira, D., Garganta, J., & Anguera, M. T. (2011). In search of nexus between attacking game-patterns , match status and type of ball recovery in European Soccer Championship 2008. Research Methods and Performance Analysis. 5th International Christmas Sport Scientific Conference: Qualitative and Quantitative Research in Sport Science, 1–13. Szombathely, Hungary.

Barreira, D., Garganta, J., Guimarães, P., Machado, J., & Anguera, M. T. (2014). Ball recovery patterns as a performance indicator in elite soccer. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology, 228(1), 61–72. https://doi.org/10.1177/1754337113493083

Bate, R. (1988). Football chance: tactics and strategy. In T. Reilly, A. Lees, K. Davids, & W. Murphy (Eds.), Science and football (pp. 293–301). London: E & F.N. Spon.

Berber, E., McLean, S., Beanland, V., Read, G. J. M., & Salmon, P. M. (2020). Defining the attributes for specific playing positions in football match-play: A complex systems approach. Journal of Sports Science, 38(11–12), 1248–1258. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2020.1768636

Bradley, P. S., Carling, C., McCall, A., & Dupont, G. (2016). Match-to-match variability in high-speed running activity in a professional soccer team. Journal of Sports Sciences, 34(24), 2215–2223. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2016.1176228

Casal, C. A., Anguera, M. T., Maneiro, R., & Losada, J. L. (2019). Possession in football: more than a quantitative aspect – a mixed method study. Frontiers in Physiology, 10(501), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2019.00501

Claudino, R. (1993). Observação em Desporto- Elaboração de um sistema de observação e sua aplicação pedagógica a Jogos desportivos colectivos. Dissertação (Mestrado em Motricidade Humana). Faculdade de Motricidade Humana. Universidade Técnica de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal.

Collet, C. (2013). The possession game? A comparative analysis of ball retention and team success in European and international football, 2007-2010. Journal of Sports Sciences, 31(2), 123–136. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2012.727455

Elyakim, E., Morgulev, E., Lidor, R., Meckel, Y., Arnon, M., & Ben-Sira, D. (2020). Comparative analysis of game parameters between Italian league and Israeli league football matches. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 20(2), 165–179. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2020.1726158

Escher, T. (2020). Der Schlüssel zum Spiel: wie moderner Fußball funktioniert. Verlag: Rowohlt Taschenbuch.

Fayyad, U., Piatetsky-Shapiro, G., & Smyth, P. (1996). From data mining to knowledge discovery in databases. Al Magazine1, 17(3), 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1609/aimag.v17i3.1230

Flynn, T. (2001). The effects of crosses across three levels of professional football. Insight: The F.A. Coaches Association Journal, 4(2), 13–16.

Freitas, A. A. (2003). A survey of evolutionary algorithms for data mining and knowledge discovery. In A. Ghosh & S. Tsutsui (Eds.), Advances in Evolutionary Computing. Natural Computing Series (pp. 819–845). Berlin: Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18965-4_33

Garganta, J. (2001). A análise da performance nos jogos desportivos. Revisão acerca da análise do jogo. Revista Portuguesa de Ciências do Desporto, 1(1), 57–64. https://doi.org/10.5628/rpcd.01.01.57

Gollan, S., Bellenger, C., & Norton, K. (2020). Contextual factors impact styles of play in the English Premier League. Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, 19(1), 78–83. Retrieved from https://www.jssm.org/volume19/iss1/cap/jssm-19-78.pdf

Gong, B. (2023). Key performance indicators and network analysis on ball possession in Chinese Football Association Super League. Thesis (Doctoral). Ciencias Sociales de la Actividad Física, del Deporte y del Ocio. Facultad de Ciencias de la Actividad Física y del Deporte (INEF) (UPM). Madrid, Spanish.

Grund, T. U. (2012). Network structure and team performance: the case of English Premier League soccer teams. Social Networks, 34(4), 682–690. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socnet.2012.08.004

Hughes, C. (1990). The Winning Formula. London: London William Collins & Co.

Humphreys, B. R., & Prokopowicz, S. (2007). Assessing the impact of sports mega-events in transition economies: EURO 2012 in Poland and Ukraine. International Journal of Sport Management and Marketing, 2(5–6), 496–509. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJSMM.2007.013963

Jamil, M., Liu, H., Phatak, A., & Memmert, D. (2021). An investigation identifying which key performance indicators influence the chances of promotion to the elite leagues in professional European football. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 21(4), 641–650. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2021.1933845

Jaskulowski, K., & Surmiak, A. (2016). Social construction of the impact of Euro 2012: a Wroclaw case study. Leisure Studies, 35(5), 600–615. https://doi.org/10.1080/02614367.2015.1037790

Jones, D., Rands, S., & Butterworth, A. D. (2020). The use and perceived value of telestration tools in elite football. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 20(3), 373–388. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2020.1753965

Konefał, M., Chmura, P., Zacharko, M., Chmura, J., Rokita, A., & Andrzejewski, M. (2018). Match outcome vs match status and frequency of selected technical activities of soccer players during UEFA Euro 2016. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport2, 18(4), 568–581. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2018.1501991

Kuper, S., & Szymanski, S. (2014). Soccernomics: why england loses, why Spain, Germany, and Brazil win, and why the US, Japan, Australia – and even Iraq – are destinated to become the kings of the world’s most popular sport (3rd ed.). New York: Nation Books.

Lago-Peñas, C., & Dellal, A. (2010). Ball possession strategies in elite soccer according to the evolution of the match-score: The influence of situational variables. Journal of Human Kinetics, 25(1), 93–100. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10078-010-0036-z

Lago-Peñas, C., Lago-Ballesteros, J., Dellal, A., & Gómez, M. (2010). Game-related statistics that discriminated winning, drawing and losing teams from the Spanish soccer league. Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, 9(2), 288–293.

Lago, C., & Martín, R. (2007). Determinants of possession of the ball in soccer. Journal of Sports Sciences, 25(9), 969–974. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640410600944626

Lane, J. C., Van der Ploeg, G., Greenham, G., & Norton, K. (2020). Characterisation of offensive and defensive game play trends in the Australian Football League (1999–2019). International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 20(4), 557–568. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2020.1758438

Lepschy, H., Wäsche, H., & Woll, A. (2018). How to be successful in Football: a systematic review. The Open Sports Sciences Journal, 11(1), 3–23. https://doi.org/10.2174/1875399x01811010003

Lepschy, H., Wäsche, H., & Woll, A. (2020). Success factors in football: an analysis of the German Bundesliga. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 20(2), 150–164. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2020.1726157

Liu, H., Gómez, M.-A., Gonçalves, B., & Sampaio, J. (2016). Technical performance and match-to-match variation in elite football teams. Journal of Sports Sciences, 34(6), 509–518. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2015.1117121

Liu, H., Gomez, M. Á., Lago-Peñas, C., & Sampaio, J. (2015). Match statistics related to winning in the group stage of 2014 Brazil FIFA World Cup. Journal of Sports Sciences, 33(12), 1205–1213. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2015.1022578

Liu, H., Hopkins, W. G., & Gómez, M. A. (2015). Modelling relationships between match events and match outcome in elite football. European Journal of Sport Science, 16(5), 516–525. https://doi.org/10.1080/17461391.2015.1042527

Maneiro, R., Losada, J. L., Casal, C. A., & Ardá, A. (2020). The influence of match status on ball possession in High performance women’s football. Frontiers in Psychology, 11(487), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.00487

Marcelino, R., Sampaio, J., & Mesquita, I. (2011). Investigação centrada na análise do jogo: da modelação estática à modelação dinâmica. Revista Portuguesa de Ciências do Desporto, 11(1), 481–499. Retrieved from https://rpcd.fade.up.pt/_arquivo/artigos_soltos/2011-1/09.pdf

Merlin, M., Cunha, S. A., Moura, F. A., Torres, R. S., Gonçalves, B., & Sampaio, J. (2020). Exploring the determinants of success in different clusters of ball possession sequences in soccer. Research in Sports Medicine, 28(3), 339–350. https://doi.org/10.1080/15438627.2020.1716228

Mitrotasios, M., & Armatas, V. (2014). Analysis of goal scoring patterns in the 2012 european football championship. The Sport Journal, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137455062

Myftiu, A., & Berisha, M. (2022). The effects of ball possession and won duels for the success of the match in the European Football Championship – Euro 2020. Viref Revista de Educación Física, 11(3), 160–170. Retrieved from https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/viref/article/view/350170

Plakias, Spyridon, Kokkotis, C., Tsaopoulos, D., Papalexi, M., Giakas, G., & Tsatalas, T. (2023). The effectiveness of direct corners in high level soccer depending on the type and the zone of delivery. Journal of Physical Education and Sport, 23(2), 449–456. https://doi.org/10.7752/jpes.2023.02055

Plakias, Spyros, Mandroukas, A., Kokkotis, C., Michailidis, Y., Mavrommatis, G., & Metaxas, T. (2022). The correlation of the penetrative pass on offensive third with the possession of the ball in high level soccer. Gazzetta Medica Italiana - Archivio per Le Scienze Mediche, 181(9), 633–638. https://doi.org/10.23736/S0393-3660.21.04691-X

Pulling, C. (2015). Long corner kicks in the English premier league: Deliveries into the goal area and critical area. Kinesiology, 47(2), 193–201.

Pulling, C., Eldridge, D., Ringshall, E., & Robins, M. T. (2018). Analysis of crossing at the 2014 FIFA World Cup. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 18(4), 657–677. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2018.1509255

Rampinini, E., Impellizzeri, F. M., Castagna, C., Coutts, A. J., & Wisløff, U. (2009). Technical performance during soccer matches of the Italian Serie A league: Effect of fatigue and competitive level. Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport, 12(1), 227–233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsams.2007.10.002

Reis, M. A. M., Vasconcellos, F. V. A., & Almeida, M. B. (2017). Analysis of the effectiveness of long distance passes in 2014 Brazil Fifa Brasil 2014. Revista Brasileira Cineantropometria Humana, 19(6), 676–685. https://doi.org//10.5007/1980-0037.2017v19n6p676

Rocha-Lima, E. M. (2018). Associação de indicadores do futebol com os resultados das partidas da Premier League 2015/2016. 127. Dissertação (Mestrado em desenvolvimento humano e tecnologias). Insituto de Biociências. Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho, Rio Claro, Brasil.

Rocha-Lima, E. M., Tertuliano, I. W., & Fischer, C. N. (2021a). The influence of ball possession, passes and shots on target in winning premier league football matches. Research, Society and Development, 10(8), e55110817824. https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v10i8.17824

Rocha-Lima, E. M., Tertuliano, I. W., & Fischer, C. N. (2021b). The influence of crosses, shots, corner kicks and defensive movements in the results of Premier League matches. Research, Society and Development, 10(6), e477101624072. https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v10i16.24072

Rocha-Lima, E. M., Tertuliano, I. W., & Fischer, C. N. (2023). Performance indicators to be explored in order to win Premier League matches. Research, Society and Development, 12(15), e2912541379. https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v12i5.41379

Schauberger, G., Groll, A., & Tutz, G. (2018). Analysis of the importance of on-field covariates in the German Bundesliga. Journal of Applied Statistics, 45(9), 1561–1578. https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2017.1383370

Silva, J. M. G. (1997). Modelação táctica do jogo de Futebol: estudo da organização da fase ofensiva em equipas de alto rendimento. 318. Tese (Doutorado em Ci:encias do Desporto). Universidade do Porto, Porto.

Silva, E. J. O. (2007). Análise do jogo de futebol: características do processo de transição defesa-ataque das sequências ofensivas com finalização 318. Tese (Doutorado em Ciências do Desporto). Faculdade de Ciências do Desporto e de Educação Física. Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal.

Souza, D. B., Campo, R. L.-D., Blanco-Pita, H., Resta, R., & Coso, J. Del. (2019). A new paradigm to understand success in professional football: analysis of match statistics in LaLiga for 8 complete seasons. Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 19(4), 543–555. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2019.1632580

Souza, D. B., Campo, R. L.-D., Blanco-Pita, H., Resta, R., & Coso, J. Del. (2020). Association of match running performance with and without ball possession to football performance. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 20(3), 483–494. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2020.1762279

Stafylidis, A., Michailidis, Y., Mandroukas, A., Gissis, J., & Metaxas, T. (2022). Analysis of goal scoring and performance indicators in the 2020-2021 Greek soccer league. Journal of Physical Education and Sport, 22(1), 91–99. https://doi.org/10.7752/jpes.2022.01011

Weka. (2020). Documentação. Retrieved from http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/ml/weka.org/

Wilson, J. (2013). Inverting the Piyramid: The History of Football Tactics (2nd ed.). London: Orion.

Yang, G., Leicht, A. S., Lago, C., & Gómez, M.-Á. (2018). Key team physical and technical performance indicators indicative of team quality in the soccer Chinese super league. Research in Sports Medicine, 26(2), 158–167. https://doi.org/10.1080/15438627.2018.1431539

Yi, Q., Gómez, M. A., Wang, L., Huang, G., Zhang, H., & Liu, H. (2019). Technical and physical match performance of teams in the 2018 FIFA World Cup: Effects of two different playing styles. Journal of Sports Sciences, 37(22), 2569–2577. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2019.1648120

Zenger, F. (2020). You have to win Zweikampf? Retrieved May 10, 2023, from wortikalpass.de website: https://wortikalpass.de/tag/zweikampf/

Zhou, C., Zhang, S., Calvo, A. L., & Cui, Y. (2018). Chinese soccer association super league, 2012–2017: key performance indicators in balance games. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 18(4), 645–656. https://doi.org/10.1080/24748668.2018.1509254

Downloads

Publicado

2023-06-03

Como Citar

Rocha Lima, E. M., Wallan Tertuliano, I., & Norberto Fischer, C. (2023). Elementos Futebolísticos Determinantes Para os Resultados dos Jogos do Euro16. Revista Inteligência Competitiva, 13, e0428. https://doi.org/10.24883/IberoamericanIC.v13i.2023.e0428

Edição

Seção

Artigos

Artigos mais lidos pelo mesmo(s) autor(es)